Sunday, February 28, 2016

My 88th Academy Awards Predictions

Its that time of year again.

As always its time for me to make my predictions for winners for the Academy Awards. I have been edging closer and closer to getting a perfect 24/24 right. Will this be my year? We will have to wait and see.

I base my predictions on my gut feeling as well as some quick research. Sadly, I don't get to see everything in order to make some predictions, so I do that research so I can make the best case possible. While I did better last year that usual, I still didn't see any of the foreign titles up for the Oscars this year. With that said, "Son of Saul" has been on fire and I have heard nothing but great things about it, so I think "Son of Saul" will take it this year. These predictions aren't who I personally hope will win, because if I based them on that, then I'd rip all my hair out. My opinion is the opinion of 6,000 Oscar voters, and I know over the years that they bring their baggage and biases to the voting booth. They just do. These predictions for me are just a fun way of seeing how many I guess right, an attempt to get into the heads of the 6,000 Oscar voters. But I will recognize who I would give the golden statue to if I were in charge of the Oscars.

Here are my predictions:

*= Will Win

BEST PICTURE
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant*
Room
Spotlight

BEST DIRECTOR
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Adam McKay, The Big Short
Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant*

Yep, Inarritu will be the first back-to-back Best Director winner since the 1950's.

BEST ACTOR
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant*
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Its going to be Leo's year this year!

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room*
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed*

Mark Rylance could upset this category.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl*
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

I saw "The Danish Girl," but didn't have time to review it. But I will say that Vinkander has had a great year and will get this Oscar.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out*
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Embrace of the Serpant
Mustang
Son of Saul*
Theeb
A War

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight*
Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Big Short*
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road*
The Revenant

Although Cinderella is a huge Dark Horse in this category.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
 "Earned It" Fifty Shades of Grey
"Manta Ray," Racing Extinction
"Simple Song 3" Youth
"Till It Happens To You," The Hunting Ground*
"Writings on the Wall," Spectre

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Hateful Eight*
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Amy*
Cartel Land
The Look of Silence
What Happened, Miss Simone?
Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight For Freedom

It was a great year for documentaries, but I can't believe they are going to give it to Amy. Cartel Land should win.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Body Team 12
Chau, beyond the lines
Claude Lanzmann
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness*
Last Day of Freedom

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Mad Max: Fury Road*
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Dissapeard
The Revenant

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road*
The Martian 
The Revenant

BEST FILM EDITING
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road*
The Revenant
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant*
Sicario

BEST SOUND EDITING
Mad Max: Fury Road*
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST SOUND MIXING
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant*
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Ex Machina
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian 
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens*

BEST SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Bear Story
Prologue
Sanjays Super Team*
We Can't Live Without Cosmos
World of Tomorrow

BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Ave Maria*
Day One
Everything Will Be Okay
Shok
Stutterer


So I think its going to be a big night for both "The Revenant" and "Mad Max: Fury Road." I love all the nominations "Mad Max" got this year. Honesty, I feel bad for putting "Star Wars" as the winner for Visual Effects over "Mad Max." That was the one prediction that had me torn for a good part of the day. "Mad Max" will be the "Avatar" this year and will get lots of the visual and technological awards, and they could get visual effects, but I'd love to see "Star Wars" get it. 

Some Dark Horses
Along with Mark Rylance winning Best Supporting Actor and "Cinderella" winning Costume Design, there are some other Dark Horses this year. Nominations that could completely upset the status quo. As much as Vikander is the favorite to win Supporting Actress, Kate Winslet could make a "Titanic" reunion with Leo tonight. I think if anybody could beat Leo tonight, it could be Michael Fassbender. I really think "Spotlight" has Original Screenplay, but could get upset by "Straight Outta Compton." Again, I hope I am wrong on Visual Effects and "Mad Max" gets it. If I was in charge of the Oscars, I'd give Visual Effects to "Mad Max," but my gut is still telling me "Star Wars." We shall see. Mad Max could also get Cinematography, but I doubt it. Emmanuel Lubezski may have won last year, but "The Revenant" was just too beautiful.

Well. the ceremony starts in just a few hours. I will see you guys on the other side of this later tonight.

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