Saturday, February 21, 2015

My 2015 Oscar Predictions

My 2015 Oscar Predictions
Tomorrow is Hollywood's biggest night, and I did everything I possibly could to prepare for it.

What I have now are my predictions for tomorrow. I have looked closely at every movie in each category, and I have made by best possible, educational guess of who will win what tomorrow night. I don't mean to sound conceited, but last year I guessed twenty correct winners out of twenty-four. Not too shabby if I say so myself. I don't know if it will be this year, but I am hoping to guess them all right one year.

The reason I feel that this year may not be my perfect prediction year is because 2014 was filled with great cinema. I feel if there is any year for a dramatic upset at the Oscars, it could be this year. I am hoping deeply that the stars are not fully aligned tomorrow night, and some of my most treasured experiences of last year get the big wins. I have always discussed how I like watching The Oscars, but I don't put much stock into The Oscars. This really isn't important to me, simply because I see right through it. The Academy is made up of a bunch of Hollywood people with their own opinions and their own agendas. It never seems like there is a neutral, unbiased person in the voting rooms for the Oscar winners, and if you watch enough of these ceremonies, you tend to find patterns. I am always curious to see who wins, so I can't help myself but watch. Plus, Neil Patrick Harris as the host should be good this year.

I base my predictions on my personal movie-going experience I had last year, as well as what some of the bigger film critics are saying. If there is a general consensus for a winner, it is usually spot-on, and most of the time, it is for good reason. But I don't want that to sound like I don't use my voice, because I do. These are definitely my predictions, and sometimes when a group of people are right, they are right.

Each category is listed below. I have labeled which nominee I think WILL WIN will be underlined. I have labeled which nominee I think SHOULD WIN in italics. If they double-dip, then they will be in both bold and italics. I will also list a darkhorse, a nominee which just upset the trends and take the win. We shall see how many darkhorses we have tomorrow night.

BEST PICTURE:
American Sniper
Birdman*
Boyhood*
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash
* I know I cheated putting two predictions here, but this is the tightest best picture race in years, and I just can't put my finger on who will win yet.

DARKHORSE: The Theory of Everything

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

DARKHORSE: Benedict Cumberbatch

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Robert Duvall, The Judge
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Boyhood
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

DARKHORSE: Edward Norton

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

DARKHORSE: Reese Witherspoon

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Laura Dern, Wild
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into The Woods

DARKHORSE: Laura Dern

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How To Train Your Dragon 2
Song of the Sea
The Tale of Princess Kaguya

DARKHORSE: Big Hero 6

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ida
Mr. Turner
Unbroken

DARKHORSE: Unbroken

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Inherent Vice
Into The Woods
Maleficent
Mr. Turner

DARKHORSE: Inherent Vice

BEST DIRECTING
Alejandro G. Inarritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game

DARKHORSE: Wes Anderson

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Citizenfour
Finding Vivan Maier
Last Days in Vietnam
The Salt of the Earth
Virunga

DARKHORSE: Last Days in Vietnam

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1*
Joanna
Our Curse
The Reaper
White Earth
*I have never seen nor do I even know how to get ahold of short films nominated for any awards. This prediction is based solely on what everyone else said.

BEST FILM EDITING
American Sniper
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Whiplash

DARKHORSE: Whiplash, American Sniper

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Ida, Poland
Leviathan, Russia
Tangerines, Estonia
Timbuktu, Mauritania
Wild Tales, Argentina

DARKHORSE: Wild Tales

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Guardians of the Galaxy

DARKHORSE: Foxcatcher, (I wish I could say Guardians of the Galaxy has a chance)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
Mr. Turner
The Theory of Everything

DARKHORSE: The Grand Budapest Hotel

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Everything is Awesome," The LEGO Movie
"Glory," Selma
"Grateful," Beyond The Limits
"I'm Not Going To Miss You," Glen Campbell...I'll Be Me
"Lost Stars" Begin Again

DARKHORSE: Should I put "Everything is Awesome" here?

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
Into The Woods
Mr. Turner

DARKHORSE: Mr. Turner

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
The Bigger Picture
The Dam Keeper
Feast
Me and My Moulton
A Single Life

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
Aya
Boogalo and Graham
Butter Lamp
Parvaneh
The Phone Call

BEST SOUND EDITING
American Sniper
Birdman
The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Unbroken

DARKHORSE: Unbroken

BEST SOUND MIXING
American Sniper
Birdman
Interstellar
Unbroken
Whiplash

DARKHORSE: American Sniper

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
Interstellar
X-Men: Days of Future Past

DARKHORSE: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Sniper
The Imitation Game
Inherent Vice
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

DARKHORSE: The Theory of Everything, Whiplash

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Birdman
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Nightcrawler

DARKHORSE: Birdman and Boyhood


Those are my predictions and I am sticking to them. What are your predictions? Let me know in the comment section below.


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